Can corn rise to 1.5 yuan in 2022?
The real risk period of corn market years ago is in the next half month. If it is operated properly, it will soon see a certain profit margin after the year. Although the cycle of price increase will not be too long, there is a chance to "climb again" 1.5 yuan's high point!
The first quarter of 2022 is absolutely challenging for the domestic corn market, not only because various contradictions are prominent at present, but also because the fluctuation of corn price is like an "electrocardiogram", which is really difficult to grasp.
However, it must be said that with the coming of the Spring Festival, the mood of growers will rise and the order volume will increase significantly. Therefore, corn is expected to rise to the high price of 1.5 yuan, and there is little room for the price to fall deeply. Moreover, with the approaching of the Spring Festival, the overall situation of corn prices in the first quarter has been set.
Trend of corn price in the first quarter of 2022
January
There is bound to be a small peak in grain sales, mainly concentrated in North China and Huanghuai area. Although there is influence in Northeast China, it is not great. After all, there is very little ground food urgently sold in Northeast China at present, and it is estimated that in the next half month, the total amount will be around15 million tons!
But the impact on the corn market will not be much. The reason is very simple. At present, the frequency of traders in North China and Huanghuai is accelerating, and the idea of building warehouses has changed from ideas to practical actions. At present, farmers in Northeast China are reluctant to sell, which is directly related to the current increase in grain prices at the grassroots level.
In this way, before the Spring Festival, traders in Northeast China will still wait and see, and there will even be opportunities to give up building warehouses years ago!
Therefore, throughout January, North China and Huanghuai areas were really weak, and it was difficult to have a big ups and downs. However, the northeast region generally stabilized, and enterprises would cut prices slightly, but the grassroots would raise prices, and the contradiction between sales and sales was further intensified!
February
Influenced by the Spring Festival, the price fluctuation in February is mainly upward, especially for deep processing enterprises with low inventory, which are bound to start the action of raising prices and collecting grain after the holiday.
After all, the probability of farmers selling grain during the Spring Festival is not great, mainly based on the inventory in the hands of traders! It is expected that the price will change obviously around the fifteenth day of the first month!
It should be noted that the time in February is short, and the inventory level of enterprises is different, so the price changes are different. That's why we suggest that traders build warehouses at present and focus on corn cob.
According to the experience, the price increase period in February is short, and once the traders form a large-scale shipment, the enterprise will reduce the price with great probability.
Therefore, it is not very easy to grasp, and the information update speed in the first month is slow, so everyone needs to be vigilant. However, the high point at this stage will probably return to 1.45 or above in Shandong, North China!
March
March of 20021year is the time when corn prices hit a high point, and the highest price in Northeast China approached 1.5 yuan, and the high point in Shandong, North China broke through 1.6 yuan.
However, in March this year, everyone may be disappointed. In March, the corn price will show a high probability of rising first and then falling, and even a small rise and fall, mainly focusing on policy changes!