So what is the market? How is the market trend? Below to take you into the market to understand:
One, the price of pigs two days across the board soared, and then hit a new high for the year
In recent times, the price of pigs shocks intensified, suddenly up and down, whether it is the market, or pig farmers, feel a little uncomfortable.
Entering October, the first 2 weeks of pig prices have been rising shockingly, reaching 14.04 yuan / kg, there were 4 days of continuous decline, the price of hogs back to the era of 13 yuan again, in today and tomorrow's hog market, there are 2 days of continuous violent pull up, the market is in an uproar, the debate.
October 20, the national average hog prices rose about 0.35 yuan, the national average price of hogs 14.12 yuan / catty, hitting a new high for the year, Shanghai, Fujian, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and other places hog prices exceeded 15 yuan mark.
Popular rise in hog prices around the world, and the rate of increase is large, of which:
Anhui area hog prices rose 50 cents per catty, 14.5-14.9 yuan / catty; Jiangsu rose 50 cents, 14.5-15.15 yuan / catty; Liaoning rose 50 cents, 13.8- 14.1 yuan/catty; up 40 cents, 14.6-15.15 yuan/catty;
Shandong up 40 cents, 14.0-14.65 yuan/catty; Shanxi up 40 cents, 13.9--14.5 yuan/catty; Heilongjiang up 40 cents. 13.6-14.0 yuan/catty; Jilin rose 40 cents, 13.7-14.0 yuan/catty.
Other provinces rose 1-3 cents.
Recently, pig prices rise and fall fluctuations, there are many reasons, according to industry analysis:
One is the main body of the farming mentality is unstable, from the current market, when the price of pigs rose a few days after the main body of the breeding of the mood to go out of the pen rose, a brain out of the pen, resulting in a large selling pressure, the slaughtering enterprises can only reduce the purchase price.
When the price fell a few days, the market is not to buy up, control the fence, resulting in frequent market fluctuations.
The second is the market news is more, around the news about hog production capacity, reserve pork put news, pork import and export news, etc., pig prices have some impact, played a role in pushing the waves.
Third, the relevant enterprises are not standardized operation.
For example, some large pig enterprises, the control of the pen on the more arbitrary, affecting the normal rhythm of the market supply of hogs; and then some slaughtering enterprises, combined with the number of pork in stock, the speed of sales, the number of vehicles to send pigs and other factors, to adjust the price of pigs more flexible.
These unstandardized production operations are also a factor leading to frequent pig price shocks.
Because of the rise in pig prices, the price of pork in recent times has also been a series of price increases, the current mainstream retail price of pork across the country has reached 19-23 yuan per catty, and many netizens reflect that it is more difficult to increase in consumption.
The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs to monitor the price of pork, also continues to rise, reports show: as of 14:00 today, the average price of pork in the national wholesale market of agricultural products was 35.12 yuan / kg, up 0.4% over yesterday; beef 78.52 yuan / kg, up 0.4% over yesterday; lamb 68.46 yuan / kg, up 2.0% over yesterday; eggs 12.37 yuan /kg.
Pork, beef and mutton all rose.
Second, the risk of rising grain prices, but corn appeared "3 good"
Today's grain market, corn and wheat prices are still in a polarized state, wheat continues to rise, corn trend is weaker, only a few enterprises in Shandong rose, some companies in the northeast continue to reduce prices.
Today's wheat market, the end of the unilateral rising market, the market divergence:
On the one hand, the developed flour Liaocheng rose 1 cent, quoted 1.61 yuan / catty; and Xing flour rose 1.5 cents, quoted 1.61 yuan / catty; Zhoukou LU Wang rose 1 cent, quoted 1.61 yuan / catty.
On the other hand, Zhoukou Wuteli fell 0.5 cents, quoting at 1.605 yuan/catty; Shangqiu Wuteli dropped 0.5 cents, quoting at 1.605 yuan; and Xinxiang Wuteli dropped 0.5 cents, quoting at 1.61 yuan/catty.
Today's corn market is still weak in the northeast, Shandong, Henan and other strong:
On the one hand, Heilongjiang Daqing Yipin fell 1 point, 14% water 1.315 yuan / catty, 30% of water 1.0494 yuan / catty; Inner Mongolia Tongliao Kailu Yu Wang fell 0.5 points, 14% water 1.325 yuan / catty, 30% water 1.071 yuan / catty.
On the other hand, Henan Mengzhou Houyuan Bio rose 2 cents, quoting 1.455 yuan/catty; Henan Luzhou Group rose 0.5 cents, quoting 1.415 yuan/catty; and Shaanxi Baoji Fufeng rose 1 cent, quoting 1.36 yuan/catty.
From the current market point of view, the wheat market is relatively more risky, at any time there is a risk of falling back, analyze the reasons:
One is that the current wheat prices are high, the whole into the era of 1.60 yuan, the individual purchase price of wheat enterprises is close to 1.70 yuan / catty, continue to rise in the space is extremely limited.
The second is that a lot of feed enterprises of the current rush of corn, indicating that part of the feed enterprise's share of wheat will be replaced by corn, because the price of wheat is too high, there is no more cost-effective.
Third, from the market performance, today's wheat prices have stagnated, and there are also a number of companies have begun to adjust downward, indicating that the market is now disputing the price level of wheat, some wheat traders in the bag of emotions in the aggravation.
Wheat market risk increased, while the corn market is relatively optimistic, although currently at the peak of the amount of corn listed, but corn prices are still relatively stable, before only a small area, a small decline, and the last few days in local areas of corn prices have begun to rebound.
The main reason is that some companies are optimistic about the current low corn prices, cost-effective, willingness to build positions rise, some feed companies to expand corn procurement.
In addition to this, there are several good news about corn recently, which also constitute a certain support for the corn market:
One is the high price of imported corn in the southern port recently, reaching 3400 yuan/ton, which constitutes a boost to the domestic corn market.
The second is the recent soybean meal, fishmeal, bone meal and other feed ingredients prices rose sharply, in the case of pig prices, egg prices rose greatly, to feed prices, one of the important raw materials corn also brought favorable.
Third, the grain reserves in the recent stock of corn auction, showing a high reserve price, high premiums, high turnover rate of "three high" state, the price of corn also has a positive effect.
This analysis shows that the future trend of wheat and corn, the risk of wheat to be more, the opportunity of corn to be more.
Three, eggs continue to fall, 5 yuan egg prices can be expected
Entering mid-October, the egg market and hog prices fell almost simultaneously, the current pig prices have begun to rebound, but the price of eggs is still shocking downward, part of the region's egg prices have returned to 6 yuan below.
Today's egg market shows that the national average price of eggs fell 3 cents, 5.74 yuan per pound.
Which: Northeast three provinces fell across the board, the mainstream offer 5.40-6.30 yuan / catty; North China, Hebei and Inner Mongolia 2 provinces fell, regional mainstream offer 5.16-6.25 yuan / catty; East China, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Shandong 3 provinces and cities fell, Anhui rose, regional mainstream offer 5.5 -6.9 yuan / catty; Central China mainstream offer 5.57-6.40 yuan / catty; Northwest mainstream offer 5.7-6.7 yuan / catty.
Including: Beijing Huilongguan, Yuezhuang, Laiguangying, Wangsiying, Shunyi Shimen, Changping Shuitun, etc., down 5 yuan, 270 yuan / 44 catties; Tianjin Jixian, Baodi, Wuqing, Ninghe, etc., down 5 yuan, 257 yuan / 45 catties; Shanghai, down 3 yuan, 167 yuan / 27.5 catties; Henan Duchi County, down 0.1 yuan, 5.70 yuan / catties; Jiangsu Shuyang, Fengxian and other places Down 2 yuan, 170 yuan / 30 catties; Gansu Pingliang, Jingchuan fell 0.1 yuan, 5.90 yuan, catties.
Egg prices continue to fall, the reasons are not complicated:
One is that the egg price rose to 6, 7 yuan a catty, relatively rare, many consumers are discouraged, the sales decline.
The second is that the beginning of the second quarter, chick restocking has risen, resulting in an increase in the number of new laying hens, capacity has increased.
Thirdly, the impact of individual events, some residents' income shrinkage, the catering industry is also affected, the production area of the egg outbound transportation difficulties, and many other factors, all of which constitute an adverse impact on the price of eggs.
On the aftermath of the market, I feel that every four-quarter consumption, eggs are not the main field, in the case of production capacity, consumption tends to fade, the egg price market is difficult to have a big as a comprehensive return to the 5 yuan era, or even lower are possible.
Four, sheep retreat, leaving a pig's hair
Lastly, sheep prices, since the beginning of the year, sheep prices continue to slump, even in June and July in local areas of sheep prices have risen, but also can not stop the downward cycle of sheep prices, the "mega-trend".
The mainstream offer around the fattening sheep fell to 13-15 yuan / catty, culling sheep offer between 9-11 yuan / catty, 30 catties of lambs offer more than 400-600 yuan / only between.
These prices are down about 200-300 yuan each compared with the same period last year.
The latest sheep prices show: Henan Zhoukou fattening sheep 14 yuan 1 catty; Henan Xiangcheng County: cotton sheep ewes ten yuan a catty, rams thirteen a catty; Shaanxi Tongguan area lambs (males) 30 catties weight of 5OO yuan/only, the female 4OO yuan/only; out of the ewes 1O yuan/catty, fattening meat sheep 12 yuan/catty.
In recent times, the market has seen a phenomenon, that is, since 2018 to enter the sheep industry, new farmers, because of this year's fall in the price of sheep, feed rises sharply, the actual situation of higher labor costs, raise a day to lose a day's money, the more you raise the more you lose, the last period of time began to clear out of the fence, began to sell off, so that more than one sale, the price of sheep has been dropping in the near future.
There is also a part of the farmers, began to accelerate the ewes out of the pen, and slaughtering enterprises, the cost of procurement of fattening sheep to 14, 5 yuan a catty, and the acquisition of elimination of the big ewes, a catty to be cheaper 5, 6 yuan, the price of mutton is still sold at a high price, a catty of 35-45 yuan / catty, more profitable, which also squeezes the price of the normal fattening of sheep.
On the aftermath of sheep prices, experts predicted that the inflection point of the sheep cycle up about the second half of 2023, I wonder if it is reliable?
Friends, the recent pork and egg prices fluctuate frequently, pork prices, egg prices are still not low, I do not know what price you there? Welcome to share with the national network for comparison reference.