In late May, the national pig price has officially shown an overall rise after a short-term shock.
And according to the latest price adjustments by pig slaughtering companies, the overall trend of pig prices in North China and Northeast China, which are the benchmark for national pig prices, is strong and positive.
The large-scale rise in pig prices also indicates that before the end of May, domestic pig prices will usher in a wave of positive trends.
For us farmers, in the process of this round of positive changes in pig prices, farmers have also ushered in the high point of pig prices in the past three months.
According to incomplete statistics, the current grassroots pig price has reached 15.66~15.91 yuan per catty.
Furthermore, under the influence of violent fluctuations in the prices of raw materials such as corn and soybean meal, the pig-to-grain ratio at the grassroots level has now fully returned to the level of 5.60:1.
Farmers have already ushered in the turning point of domestic pig prices in 2022, and have been favorably affected by the large-scale rise in pig prices in the northern region.
Now the price of pigs in East China, Central China, South China and Southwest China has also begun to show a positive trend of price increases in places such as the decline and stabilization.
Anhui, Henan and other places have seen rising pig prices, and the current highest purchase price of pigs in many areas in the south has reached 8.0 to 8.4 yuan per catty. Farmers have ushered in new opportunities to sell pigs. , whether everyone chooses to sell pigs has become the most concerned issue for many farmers now.
From the short-term trend, the positive trend of domestic pig prices has been very obvious.
In my opinion, domestic pig prices will continue to show strong price increases in the coming days such as May 25th and 26th.
However, as pig prices continue to rise, judging from the situation of pig transportation at the grassroots level, pig sales on the breeding side are likely to expand again.
However, most of the farmers who are willing to sell pigs are large-scale pig farms. For some small and medium-sized individual pig farmers, everyone is highly motivated to bear the price.
And there is a strong and generally bullish judgment on the grassroots pig market in the fourth quarter of this year.
So it is not very likely that grassroots farmers will sell pigs in large quantities in the short term.
And while the price of live pigs is ushering in a steady increase, it will also further strengthen the willingness of farmers to cover their pens to bear the price.
After all, after the grass-roots pig price has fluctuated violently for several consecutive months, farmers will face varying degrees of losses.
So now that pig prices are rebounding, farmers also need this wave of favorable market conditions to recover in time.
However, for our farmers with tight cash flow, everyone should also pay attention to the fact that the prices of corn, soybean meal and other feed raw materials are likely to increase this year, which will become the next trend this year. A major variable in the domestic pig price trend in the first half of the year.
If we farmers cannot treat the current market situation with a normal heart, we are likely to face a more passive situation.
As June approaches, Pig Wealth God believes that the overall domestic pig price will continue to rise steadily.
The highest purchase price of live pigs at the grassroots level is likely to exceed the 10 yuan mark. Now the average price of live pigs in Guangdong, South China, has risen to 9.0~9.3 yuan per catty. This shows that the positive price of pigs will further promote The high point of high grassroots pig prices.
We farmers will also usher in stronger and favorable market conditions in June.
Here we also hope that the majority of farmers can adjust the rhythm of pig production. While consolidating cash flow, farmers should also seize the opportunity of high pig prices.
Let’s collect the latest live pig quotations nationwide on May 23
East China: Shanghai 8.0~8.3, Shandong 7.7~8.1, Ping Anhui 7.8~8.1, Zhejiang 8.0~8.3 Jiangsu is 7.9~8.1 flat, Fujian is 8.1~8.3 flat;
Central China: Jiangxi is 7.8~8.0 flat, Hubei is 7.7~8.0 flat, Henan is 7.7~8.0 flat, Hunan is 7.5~7.8 flat;
South China : Guangdong 9.0~9.3 flat, Guangxi 7.5~8.3 flat, Hainan 8.0~9.0 flat;
North China: Beijing rose 8.0~8.1 flat, Tianjin rose 8.0~8.1 flat, Shanxi rose 7.5~7.9 flat, Hebei rose 7.6~8.1 flat;
Northeast: Heilongjiang 7.6~7.8 flat, Jilin 7.6~7.8 flat, Liaoning 7.5~8.0 flat;
Northwest: Shaanxi 7.6~7.9 flat, Gansu 7.2~7.5 flat;
Southwest : Chongqing is 7.7~8.0 flat, Sichuan is 7.6~8.0 flat, Yunnan is 7.2~7.4 flat, Guizhou is 7.6~7.8 flat;
In recent times, Pig Wealth God has made a series of analyzes on the overall domestic pig price. .
Objectively speaking, the turning point for domestic pig prices has arrived at the end of May.
Judging from the situation in the grassroots consumer market, although consumption is sluggish and it is difficult to provide support for rising pig prices, one core point still depends on the willingness of farmers to sell pigs.
If everyone is generally selling pork, it will naturally be difficult to usher in a big rise in the market.
However, the current pig sales on the breeding side are not significant, and many farmers are now bidding for piglets. The acquisition of piglets has been in full swing, and group pig farms are also constantly selling piglets. selling piglets.
So now through a series of piglet purchasing operations on the breeding side, everyone has a consistent bullish judgment on the future trend of pig prices.
In terms of short-term market trends, after domestic pig prices ushered in a favorable trend of local rise on May 24.
As of May 25, pig prices in the north and south will most likely continue to rise steadily.
After the second half of this year begins, the period of rising pig prices that our farmers have been looking forward to will also come! This wave of super pig cycles is coming to an end, and the benefits of pig farming that farmers have been looking forward to will become more significant.
Since June, although consumption is still in a sluggish state, due to the bullish operations of farmers, pig slaughterhouses will also face increasing pressure to harvest pigs.
So in order to alleviate the problem of difficulty in harvesting pigs, pig slaughtering companies will most likely adjust pig prices.
However, if domestic pig prices want to rise significantly in June, there is still a lack of positive support. Therefore, the highlight of this year's pig price surge is still in the October to December stage!
The long-term favorable market situation has made farmers more determined and have a mentality of covering the fence to carry the price.
Here, Pig God of Wealth hopes that everyone can treat the trend of pig prices with a normal heart.
If 80% of people are choosing to hold up the price, this is essentially not in line with the market's profit rules.
So on the one hand, everyone must actively adjust their mentality and analyze market trends.
On another aspect, we must also pay attention to the cash flow of pig breeding.
Only when everyone’s pig raising cash flow is loose and stable, can we wait until the moment when pig prices rise sharply.