Of course, there is an imbalance in the supply and demand relationship in the hog market, the state in order to "keep supply and stabilize the price", it will be put into the market a large number of frozen reserves of pork, and imports of pork, to ease the contradiction between supply and demand, balancing the relationship between supply and demand in the market, so that hogs and pork is at a rational level, which protects the interests of consumers, and is conducive to the development of the hog industry. It protects the interests of consumers and is conducive to the benign development of the hog industry.
So, at present, the pig price plummeted, anomaly, there are four deep-seated reasons, now analyzed as follows, for the reference of pig farmers, I hope to be able to pig farmers to understand the current market situation of the pig market to help.
①, pig mode has undergone a fundamental change. Now the pig mode and the past pig mode, from quantitative to qualitative changes in the process.
In the past, pig rearing is mainly rural people raising pigs as the main body, the rural family pig rearing as the main form of collective and professional pig rearing as a tutoring role, the scale of pig rearing is much smaller than now, and the production capacity of hogs is much lower than now, so the market supply of hogs is very limited, basically to maintain the degree of adaptation to the demand.
This will make the usual normal market conditions, in supply and demand compatible, consistent, balanced, but, a major holiday and winter waxing and curing time, there will be a hog supply is less than demand, so that the price of hogs soared, known as the hog farmers, "festivals will rise", the formation of a market law.
This law, at present, has lost its regularity, so now the pig mode has undergone a fundamental change.
Now the rural family pig farming, that is, backyard farmers basically disappeared, has not seen, does not exist, instead of the rural large-scale pig farmers, urban capital into the rural pig industry pig companies and other chain enterprises or groups of companies, as the main form.
Such is to scale, scientific, professional as the main features of the pig industry, prompting a huge scale of pig farming, fattening pigs fast, pig production capacity has exceeded the past a large section of the market supply of hogs is very huge, so that the current pig industry around the fundamental changes that occur in the hog market, the supply of hogs is greater than the demand.
②, consumer spending power has changed. At present, the pork consumer market, not in the city, but in the countryside, because the urban population compared with the rural population is a huge disparity, the urban population is a fraction of the rural population.
Additionally, pork consumption is now dominated by cured bacon and sausage making, and the demand is not in the cities, but in the countryside.
Since 2020 due to the impact of epidemic prevention and control, three years, the rural people's economic resources are mainly in the city as the main form of labor, and gradually lost confidence in working, playing workers to earn money is very difficult, more and more difficult.
Therefore, the epidemic prevention and control to rural people working has caused a very serious impact, reducing the family economic income, a large number of migrant workers to return to their homes to work in agriculture, planting vegetables, vegetables lagging, planting fruits, fruits lagging, so that the rural people's economic income is not as big as three years ago, resulting in a decline in the overall economic income of the family.
Right now the rural curing bacon and sausage, pork consumption, greatly reduced, in order to normalize the family's daily life, they had to reduce the consumption and expenditure of pork, so this year's pork market demand as a whole is not as good as in previous years, will inevitably lead to a substantial reduction in the demand for pork will result in the supply of pork is seriously greater than the demand.
3, pig production capacity remains high so that the supply and demand imbalance. Now the pig farmers are large-scale, specialized, scientific pig farmers, are capital control of pigs, are for economic benefits, high prices of hogs, both in terms of quantity and price, to obtain high returns, the price of the downturn, to take the pen to sell, monopolize the market, so that the supply of hogs greatly reduced, forcing the price of hogs to oscillate back to the profit.
In this way, around the hog production capacity expansion, high, the state is difficult to adjust the control of hog production capacity, which will inevitably make the hog market supply is difficult to cut for a long time, the supply is greater than the demand and the market coexist, so the hogs in quite a period of time there is a surplus of hogs, so that hogs prices in the traditional peak season of sales, instead of rising instead of falling anomalous phenomenon.
4, frozen storage and imported pork to regulate the market. Since the eve of the Mid-Autumn Festival, around in order to "keep supply and price stability", and reserve turnover, had to put a large amount of frozen reserves of pork to the market, forcing the market pork supply is too large, resulting in a long period of downward shock of the price of hogs.