0 1, pigs continued to fall, but meat prices rose instead of falling.
From the beginning of the year to the middle of 10, the price of pigs rose several times in pulses, especially after entering 10, but the price of pigs that should have entered the off-season continued to rise for two weeks, rising to 10/4.04 yuan/kg on10/4.
Since1October15th, the national pig price has entered a downward trend for four consecutive days, and the national average pig price has returned to below 14 yuan/kg.
1October 18, except for Shanghai, Zhejiang and Hainan, the national pig price has fallen again, and the decline rate is still not small. The provinces with the highest decline are: Jiangxi pig price fell by 5 cents per catty,13.5-14.3 yuan/catty; Heilongjiang fell by 5 hairs,12.9-13.4 yuan/kg; Hunan fell 4 hairs,13.8-14.2 yuan/kg; Shanxi fell 4 hairs,13.0-13.7 yuan/kg; Jilin fell 4 cents,13.0-13.4 yuan/kg.
In other provinces, the decline is1-3 gross, and the specific quotation is shown in the attached table:
The price of pigs has been falling continuously, but the price of pork is still firm. What is the situation? Today's monitoring data of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs show that as of today 14:00, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market is 35. 1 1 yuan/kg, up 2.8% from last Friday.
From the data point of view, pork has not only not fallen, but has risen. I don't know what you think? The continuous decline in pig prices in recent days should be a normal market fluctuation. If the reasons are analyzed, there are probably several:
First, due to the continuous increase in pig prices some time ago, which has reached about 14 yuan/kg, the breeding profit has soared, reaching as high as 800-1000 yuan/head, and the farmers are eager to leave their bags for safety, and their willingness to go out is enhanced.
Second, affected by the rising price of pork, the retail prices in various places are mostly in the range of 20-22 yuan/kg at present, and the high price leads to the decline of consumption, which leads to the slow delivery of pork with white stripes. Slaughtering enterprises adjust the production rhythm and profit space by lowering the price.
Third, due to economic factors, the income of some residents has shrunk, and a kilo of pork at 10 is acceptable. Now, when it comes to 20 yuan, some people are discouraged.
Personally, the pig price correction is still on the way. In the case of increasing consumption in the fourth quarter, the callback space should be limited and the duration will not be too long.
02. Egg price "may meet the downward turning point"
At the same time of pig price adjustment, the egg market has also dropped at a high level. After a few days in fall in price, the egg price in some areas has moved closer to that in 6 yuan.
Today, there has been a large-scale decline in the national egg market, including:
Egg prices in many places in Tianjin fell, and egg prices in Jixian, Baodi, Wuqing and Ninghe generally fell in 3 yuan, with the mainstream price of 262 yuan /45 kg; Large-scale decline in Shandong: Qingdao Zhengxu plunged 8 yuan, 277 yuan /45 kg; The wholesale prices of Qingdao Huashengde, Liwei and other enterprises dropped by 3 yuan, 186 yuan /30 kg.
10/8 13 provinces and cities nationwide lowered the price of eggs, with the mainstream price in Northeast China being 5.5-6.3 yuan/kg, in North China being 5.5-6.25 yuan/kg, in East China being 5.5-6.4 yuan/kg, and in Central China being 5.57-6.4 yuan/kg. Specific quotations are given.
The wholesale price of Haiyang in Shandong fell 10 yuan, 265 yuan /45 kg; The wholesale price of Qingdao MUGUR PETRU CIUBANCAN fell 10 yuan, 270 yuan/45kg.
Laiwu, Jinan, Zibo and other places generally fell in 5 yuan, and the mainstream offer was 250 yuan /45 kg; Dezhou, Binzhou and other places generally fell to 4 yuan, 220 yuan /40 kg.
Many places in Henan fell: in some areas such as Shangqiu, Kaifeng and Zhoukou, the price of eggs generally fell in 3 yuan, 17 1 yuan /30 kg.
Fengrun, Yutian, Zunhua, Guye, Luanxian, Qian 'an, Laoting and other places in Hebei fell to 3 yuan, 262 yuan /45 kg;
Xinmin, Jinzhou and other places in Liaoning Province generally fell in 4 yuan, 263 yuan /40 kg; Eggs in Zhaodong, Harbin, Hulan, Jiamusi, Mudanjiang, Suihua, Jixi and other places in Heilongjiang fell in 0.2 yuan, and the mainstream price was 5.80 yuan/kg.
The price of eggs has fallen, which is different from that of pigs:
First, the consumption season is different, pigs gradually enter the peak season, while eggs are relatively in the light season.
Second, the recovery period of production capacity is different. The recovery period of pig production capacity is long, while the recovery period of egg production capacity is relatively short and the production capacity grows rapidly.
Third, in contrast, the price increase of eggs is stronger than that of pigs.
From the above three points, it is concluded that there will be a relatively large room for the adjustment of egg prices in this round, which may lead to a downward turning point.
03, cattle and sheep market "downturn"
After talking about the pig and egg market, let's look at the cattle and sheep market. Generally speaking, the trend of the cattle and sheep market is similar, which started in 20 17 and 20 18, and the breeding quantity increased one after another. By the end of 2002 1, it basically reached a high price, when the price of fattening cattle was mostly1.
And the price of sheep is generally the same. At that time, the price of sheep was mostly at 17 and 8 yuan per catty, but at present it is mostly between13-15 yuan per catty, and the difference between a sheep before and after is about 200 and 300 yuan.
The latest cattle prices show: Tianzhu Tibetan Autonomous County, Wuwei City, Gansu Province 16.25 yuan/kg, Zhangbei County, Zhangjiakou, Hebei Province 17.5 yuan/kg, Ningcheng County, Inner Mongolia 17.0 yuan/kg, Yuncheng County, Shandong Province 17.27 yuan/kg, Huiji District, Zhengzhou, Henan Province.
The national average price of cattle on the 7th day 17.34 yuan/kg.
Let's look at the price of sheep: sheep (female) 10 yuan/kg, ram 13.0 yuan/kg in Xiangcheng County, Henan Province; Shaanxi Tongguan damewe 10.0 yuan/kg, fattening sheep 12 yuan/kg; Hubei Zhongxiang Lake Sheep 15.0 yuan/kg; Heshun county goat 15.0 yuan/kg.
The price of cattle and sheep here is not good, which makes farmers feel "worried", but consumers on the other side also feel "worried" because of the high price of beef and mutton.
From the market point of view, although the price of cattle and sheep is not very good, the price of beef and mutton is still high. According to the data monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, as of 14 this afternoon, beef in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 77.99 yuan/kg, down 0.6% from last Friday; Mutton 66.78 yuan/kg, down1.6% from last Friday; Eggs 12.40 yuan/kg, up 1.6% from last Friday.
In our local farmers' market in Suiling, Heilongjiang, the retail price of beef is now 40 yuan/kg, and that of mutton is 45 yuan/kg.
The reasons for the low price of cattle and sheep are similar:
One is that in recent years, it is difficult for farmers to work and do business, and many people rush to the market for breeding cattle and sheep, resulting in a continuous increase in the stock of cattle and sheep.
Second, some residents are affected by many factors, and their income is shrinking and their purchasing power is not good, resulting in low consumption of beef and mutton.
Third, judging from the price cycle of cattle and sheep, it is still in the second half of the decline cycle. Some market participants predict that the market will improve significantly in the second half of next year.
Generally speaking, you don't have to be pessimistic. There is no market that only falls but doesn't rise. If you stick to it, the market outlook can be expected.
04, wheat prices rose across the board, and corn shocks were weak.
On the one hand, the price of wheat has risen, and we continue to "fire with all our strength". Today, the wheat market has a large-scale upward trend, with 33 enterprises nationwide rising:
Jinsha River in Xingtai, Hebei Province and Wudeli in Handan both rose by 1 min, and the quotation was 1.6 15 yuan/kg; Xiongxian Wudeli rose 1 min, and the price was 1.625 yuan/kg; Shenzhou Wudeli rose 0.8 points and quoted 1.603 yuan/kg; Baixiang Wudeli rose 1 min, and the quotation was 1.62 yuan/kg; Daming Wudeli rose 1 minute, and the quotation was 1.6 14 yuan/kg; Bazhou Yihai Kerry rose 0.5 points to offer 1.6 14 yuan/kg.
Henan Zhoukou Wudeli and Yihai Kerry both rose by 0.8 points, offering 1.60 yuan/kg; Tongxu Yudong flour rose 1.5 points, and the price was 1.605 yuan/kg; Shangqiu Wudeli rose 1.5 points, and quoted 1.6 1 yuan/kg; Anyang Hualong Farm rose 1 minute, and the price was 1.6 1 yuan/kg;
Shandong Yanzhou Yihai Kerry rose 2 points, offering 1.6 1 yuan/kg; Qingdao Wudeli rose 1 minute, and the quotation was 1.6 1 yuan/kg; Yucheng Wudeli rose 1 min, and the price was 1.605 yuan/kg.
Anhui Bozhou Wudeli rose 1 min, and quoted 1.597 yuan/kg; Jiangsu Xuzhou Huasheng flour rose 1 min, and the price was 1.6 15 yuan/kg; Xinghua Wudeli rose 1 min, and the price was 1.585 yuan/kg; Suqian Wudeli rose 1 minute, and the quotation was 1.58 yuan/kg; Wudeli in Xianyang, Shaanxi Province rose 0.5 points, and the price was 1.633 yuan/kg.
On the other hand, the corn market is still weak:
Jilin fuel ethanol dropped 1 min, 14 water 1.34 yuan, 30 water 1.04232 yuan/kg; Xiangyu in Suihua, Heilongjiang fell by 0.7 points, and the third-class 20 water 1. 1967 yuan/kg; Cyclobalanopsis dragon and phoenix fell another 5%, 14 water 1.32 yuan/kg; Suihua Haotiandi 1 minute 5, 14 water 1.285 yuan/kg; Fufeng in Hohhot, Inner Mongolia fell by 0.5, third class 14 water 1.37 yuan/kg; Tongliao Kailu Yuwang fell 5% yesterday, 14 water 1.33 yuan/kg; Shaanxi Baoji Fufeng rose 1 min, quoted 1.35 yuan/kg; The price of corn in Shandong has gone up and down, please see the table below:
Regarding the market outlook, personally, the price of wheat has been in a high position. Although the recent rise is good, the higher the risk, the greater the risk of callback.
Corn, on the other hand, is different. The recent weakness is mainly due to the fact that it is the main period of corn harvest and sales in the northern region, and the price of corn is under certain pressure. However, in contrast, the price of corn is more than 20 cents lower than that of wheat, and the purchase of corn will be started soon after the superposition of the national treasury. The downward adjustment of corn is limited, and after the peak of listing, corn will usher in a wave of rising prices, and it should not be a dream to reach 1.5 yuan/kg.
Dear friends, what are the prices of pork, eggs, beef and mutton in your place? Welcome to share it with friends all over the country for your reference and comparison.