Because the price of piglets has soared recently, there is a more obvious increase than last month, reflecting the confidence of farmers in the pig price market in the second half of the year. At the same time, under the situation that the pig-grain ratio has entered the second-level early warning range, the relevant units are still storing and storing pork, indicating that the current pig price has not yet reached the appropriate position, and there is still the power to promote the pig price to return to the reasonable range. It's a bit difficult for pig prices to fall recently.
According to the Mysteel agricultural data survey, the cost range of domestic large enterprises is mostly around 16.0 yuan /kg, and the shared cost of some new farms is slightly higher, around 17.0 yuan /kg.
With the slow recovery of pig-to-grain ratio in China, the profit of pig breeding has gradually got rid of the loss situation, and the loss situation of the industry has been greatly improved for self-breeding and autotrophic pigs.
With the domestic pig stock decreased by 0.2 percentage points in April, and the stock of fertile sows decreased continuously 10 month, most people in the industry are still optimistic about the market outlook, which also has a certain supporting effect on the recent pig price market.
However, with the pig price climbing to the vicinity of the cost line, the breeding process of reserve sows in pig enterprises has been accelerating, and some pig enterprises have started to operate ternary sows and supplementary sows.
Free-range households are limited by early losses, funds, epidemic situation and comprehensive factors, and the decontamination is still going on, but the chain has gradually narrowed.
After the end of May, the live pig market continued to improve, and most farmers gradually got rid of losses. Combined with the continuous contraction of productive capacity of fertile sows in the second half of 200212002, the supply of live pigs will still be' tight' in the second and third quarters. Subsequently, with the arrival of the peak consumption season in the fourth quarter, the industry has strong confidence in the market outlook, but it is necessary to be alert to the rise in pig prices and accelerate the pace of pig production expansion.
Although every time the pig price rises, slaughter enterprises have the will to reduce prices, but because of the strong right to speak at the breeding end, slaughter enterprises have to cut prices endlessly.
However, after entering the end of May, the sentiment of the slaughter market was divided and the price of pigs fell. However, with the continuous fermentation of the market, the mood of controlling the price at the breeding end is getting stronger and stronger. In the domestic north and south markets, the quotation of slaughter enterprises is generally stable and weak, and the situation of market slaughter enterprises holding money to wait and see is still prominent. In this context, pig prices may rebound against the trend.
According to the monitoring of the pig price system, among the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the price of live pigs increased by 3 and decreased by 4, which was 19, and the stable areas accounted for 73% of all the monitoring. The whole hog market is in a situation of "stable and fluctuating".
Judging from the procurement difficulty of slaughter enterprises, it is more difficult for slaughter enterprises to purchase pigs, the pig price of leading group enterprises has rebounded, the bidding enthusiasm has increased, and the phenomenon of supplier bidding has become more obvious.
Market sentiment has improved, but it is still subject to the slow delivery of live pig products.
The pig price in the breeding group is adjusted downward and upward, and the pig enterprises are weak. The price of pigs in pig farms of Northern Group has increased to a certain extent, and the price of pigs in southwest and south China has dropped significantly. The pig market of leading group has been lowered, the key areas have shrunk to some extent, and its pig price has increased to some extent.
The ex-factory price of white pigs in northern slaughter enterprises is stable and weak, and the delivery speed is weak.
Early warning of pig price trend tomorrow: combined with the recent analysis of pig market factors, it is expected that the pig price will show a "stable and moderate shock" phenomenon tomorrow, and the rising phenomenon will increase slightly.
The above interpretation of the pig market is for your reference. Welcome to exchange views on the live pig market, grasp the market dynamics, collect and share. I believe that after all kinds of hardships, you will be thoroughly remoulded.