This May and June hog prices may trend upward, mainly because last winter and spring, many places with serious swine disease, especially epidemic diarrhea led to a significant drop in piglet survival rate. With the stabilization of the local rebound, pig diseases gradually stabilized, but the loss of piglets began to affect the supply of pigs in May-July, and ultimately affect the trend of the entire pig market. Huaxia pig net to provide the latest piglet price quotes, you can go to see

First of all, from the cost point of view, labor resources are getting tighter and tighter, labor costs continue to rise, corn, soybean meal and other feed raw material prices continue to rise, the current average price of corn in 22 provinces and cities of 2.44 yuan / kg, the average price of last year's rise of 16%, compared with the beginning of the year the price has also risen by 5%. At the same time, refined oil, water, electricity, gas and other costs continue to rise, will inevitably squeeze farming profits. At present, the accelerated decline in hog farming profits, self-propagation head of average profit has fallen to more than 100 yuan, outsourcing piglet fattening has been a general loss, and the magnitude of the loss is deepening, farmers panic out to promote the rapid decline in hog prices.

Secondly, from the point of view of the government storage, due to the substantial increase in costs and prices continue to fall, this week, the first time the price of hogs and grains fell below 6:1, in accordance with the provisions of the hogs and grains ratio for four weeks below the 6:1 breakeven point, the government will begin to collect storage. The current price is basically the lowest point, and then go down, then we have to kill the sows.

Again, from the piglet growth pattern, due to factors such as persistent low temperatures during winter and spring led to a high incidence of piglet disease, piglet survival rate is generally low, will lead to a reduction in the number of hogs on the market before and after May this year, when or to promote the price of a new round of rise.

Finally, from the perspective of holiday consumption, the current trend of pig prices is very similar to last year's September to November, when the price of pigs fell for three consecutive months, affecting farmers to replenish fences, followed by New Year's Day, Chinese New Year effect ushered in a new wave of rebound in pig prices; at present, the price of pigs for 10 consecutive weeks of decline, down more than 20%, the number of hogs stocked has also declined for three consecutive months, and the expected upcoming "May Day" will promote the rebound in hog prices, and the rebound will be higher because of rising feed costs.

China hog early warning network chief analyst Feng Yonghui also said recently, due to the recent decline in pork prices, coupled with the high cost of raising pigs, there have been some farmers selling and eliminating the phenomenon of hogs, pork prices have been very limited space to fall, the next two weeks may usher in the bottom rebound, the price of hogs is expected to be able to rise to the end of May to more than 16 yuan / kg. Last year, June 22, the high point of pig prices period, feed costs are not high; and if this year, May and June feed cost increases passed on to the price of hogs, the price of hogs will rise higher.

When analyzing the reasons for the continued low prices of hogs, the relevant person in charge of the Hainan Provincial Price Bureau, the overall decline in national hog prices in March, hog prices fell by more than 6%. Hainan Province hog prices mainly by Guangdong, Guangxi and other neighboring provinces price support, Guangdong and other main marketing areas of the wholesale price of hogs low, resulting in Hainan Province hog prices fell. At the same time, last year, Hainan Province, driven by the favorable situation in the pig industry, a large number of farmers to replenish fences, resulting in the current concentration of hogs on the market, the market supply exceeds demand. Recent hog prices continue to decline, the feeders of the market is expected to lose confidence, panic selling, accelerating the rate of decline in pig prices. In addition, before the residents reserve pickled products are still digesting, as well as the Spring Festival before the government reserve meat market and other factors, but also to a certain extent lead to lower prices of hogs.

"With the warming of the temperature, pork consumption gradually decline, will exacerbate the status quo of the market supply exceeds demand, hog prices continue to lower possibility." Hainan Provincial Price Bureau relevant person in charge of the aftermath of the market forecast, said recently, the provincial price bureau to lead the organization of the provincial finance, agriculture, business and other parts of the prevention of excessive decline in pig prices regulation coordination leading group members held an emergency meeting, to be submitted to the provincial government to start the early warning of the price of live pigs, through the advancement of deep processing of meat products, support for breeding sows, accelerate the standardization of large-scale breeding, encourage pigs to go out of the island, increase the frozen meat Countermeasures to prevent the price of hogs from plummeting and rising by promoting deep processing of meat products, supporting the feeding of sows, accelerating standardized scale breeding, encouraging hogs to leave the island, increasing frozen meat reserves, improving the risk protection mechanism to prevent the price of hogs from plummeting and rising, stabilizing the production of hogs, and safeguarding the interests of hog farmers