At the same time, there is good news. From the end of March, soybean meal began to fall sharply, and now it is about 1 10,000 yuan.
So, does this mean that the pressure on the aquaculture industry is reduced and the feed price is about to fall?
0 1, pig prices go up and down.
Before Tomb-Sweeping Day, stimulated by festivals and the increase of hoarding consumer demand, pig prices began to rise, which also gave hope to pig farmers, who expected the market to continue to rise.
However, I did not expect that the holiday did not continue to boost the pig market, but instead let the pig price fall into a downturn.
Judging from today's live pig market, the pig price is the same as yesterday, both of which are 12.58 yuan/kg. However, the market showed a phenomenon of "4 up and 5 down 19 flat", indicating that the pig price was generally stable, and some areas were still not very good.
Among them, Heilongjiang rose by 0.2 yuan, 1 1.5 yuan/kg; Shanxi rose by 0.05 yuan, offering 12. 1 yuan/kg; Hainan rose by 0. 1 yuan, and the price was 17 yuan/kg; Hunan rose 0.05 yuan, and the price was 12.95 yuan/kg.
Jilin fell by 0.05 yuan, and the price was 1 1.3 yuan/kg; Hebei fell 0. 1 yuan, price 12.3 yuan/kg; Gansu fell by 0. 1 yuan, and the price was 1 1.5 yuan/kg; Yunnan fell 0. 15 yuan, and the pig price 1 1.95 yuan/kg; Shandong dropped 0. 1 yuan, and quoted 12.4 yuan/kg.
Generally speaking, the pig price in Northeast China is still low, and the mainstream price is11.3-11.7 yuan/kg; The hog market in South China is generally11.95-13.7 yuan/kg.
As for whether the pig will go higher next, it needs specific analysis.
On the bright side, pig farmers are reluctant to sell at present, leading pig enterprises plan to sell less than in March, and retail investors are also waiting to see.
With the reduction of slaughter, it will inevitably support the pig price to continue to be firm.
Of course, today's mask incident has also curbed market consumption. Food and beverage consumption and school group meal consumption are relatively weak. Due to the low number of white pigs, the procurement of pigs by slaughter enterprises is not very strong.
In addition, with the improvement of local conditions, it is expected that traffic will resume in the middle and late April, which will also enable some pig farmers to speed up the sale of pigs. At that time, big pigs will also be listed on the market, which will continue to increase the risk of pigs.
As for the evolution of pig prices, it mainly depends on how the mask incident is fermented. At present, the purchase of pork by residents is not large, and the price of pork in some areas has increased greatly, from 10 yuan in late March to 15 yuan a catty today.
If traffic is resumed in late April, the May Day holiday will also boost the market, thus driving the pig price to rise further.
02, the price of eggs has skyrocketed.
Although the prices of live pigs, cattle and sheep are not satisfactory, the price of eggs has been rising since April, and the high price has also excited egg farmers. After all, the rising cost of feed and the high price of eggs have also ensured the profits of egg farmers.
Of course, the factors that stimulate the rise in egg prices are, in the final analysis, tight stocks, insufficient sources of eggs in the market, and hoarding demand by end consumers, which makes egg prices rise.
In fact, from previous years, April was the time when the price of eggs rose. After all, the stock was basically cleared in February and March, and the number of new laying hens was not too much, and the price of eggs ushered in the peak season.
April is the season for vegetables every year. Fresh vegetables such as cucumber and eggplant have high planting cost and high retail price. So many people will increase the purchase of eggs, so the price of eggs can keep rising.
Judging from today's quotation, Shandong has increased by 0.08-0. 15 yuan, and the mainstream price is 4.42-4.5 yuan/kg; Henan rose 0. 1-0.23 yuan, and the price was 4.43-4.53 yuan/kg; Wen Shuizhang 0.2 yuan, the price of 4.5 yuan/kg; Guangzhou rose 0. 1-0. 13 yuan, and the price was 5.03-5.08 yuan/kg.
In fact, not only the prices of producing areas generally rose, but also the retail prices basically rose above 5 yuan. However, the polarization between the price of pigs and the price of eggs is ultimately that the price of eggs is cheaper.
In many places, it even rose to 5.5-6 yuan/kg, which also supported the egg market.
Now traders are active in getting goods, and the price sentiment of egg farmers is increasing. However, it is expected that with the increase of egg prices, consumers will have strong resistance, which will inevitably lead to the gradual stability of egg prices.
03. Soybean meal fell 1000 yuan.
Since 2008, the price of soybean meal has been soaring, and its market has risen from 3,000 yuan/ton to about 5,300 yuan/ton, which has also caused headaches for farmers.
It is also the rise of soybean meal that makes feed usher in five rounds of rise.
However, from the end of March to now, soybean meal has ushered in a decline. At present, the average price of soybean meal has dropped to 4432 yuan/ton, and the mainstream price in the market is 4280-4450 yuan/ton, which is 650- 1 10,000 yuan/ton lower than that in March. Such a decline also made farmers breathe a sigh of relief.
After all, soybean meal is one of the main raw materials of feed, and the decline of soybean meal will inevitably lead to the decline of feed price.
Sure enough, since April, seven feed enterprises, including Shenzhen Dabeinong, Luoyang Gleiter and Tianjin Haida, have successively announced a price reduction of 50-200 yuan/ton. It is believed that with the continuous decline of soybean meal, more feed enterprises will announce the reduction of feed prices.
Obviously, farmers are happy about the decline in feed. I believe that with the official regulation, feed will continue to decline.