The price of pork is really expensive now! Now here in Guangdong, the five-flower meat to 30 yuan a catty, spare ribs to 40 yuan a catty, pig's feet to 35 yuan a catty, and even the head of the pork to 25 yuan a catty. So what exactly is the reason, resulting in pork prices have been high and difficult to get down?
I. The main reason: the impact of African swine fever in 2019 is huge, and the impact so far
The African swine fever that swept the world in 2019 is no less powerful than the new coronavirus pneumonia that swept the world in 2020. 2020 swept the world's new coronavirus pneumonia, although the total number of infected people is more than 10 million people, and the number of people who died reached 680,000 people, but compared to the huge population of human beings, the number of people who died in 2020 is more than 10 million people. But compared to the huge human population base, the proportion is not high. But the African swine fever that swept the world in 2019, the number of pig deaths is hundreds of millions, all the world's pig-producing areas can not be avoided. Even many regions around the world, pigs died under the sweep of African swine fever. China was undoubtedly the hardest hit by African swine fever, and both large farming companies and small pig farmers suffered heavy losses. In the wake of African swine fever, many villages could not find a single live pig, and it was a miracle if a township could find a few live pigs.
It wasn't until the end of 2019 and the beginning of 2020 that China's hog farming recovered a little bit of vigor and vitality. Through slow re-breeding, China's hog farming has slowly regained some inventory, but not much. Although China's hog market is slowly regaining some vitality, the price of pork is extremely high because of the very small number of hogs in stock and the very small number of hogs being slaughtered. Pork prices at the highest time, a normal out of the meat pig, slaughterhouse out of the warehouse price even reached 10,000 yuan!
II. The cost of raising hogs has increased significantly:
Before the African swine fever in 2019, the cost of raising hogs was not expensive compared to now, although hog feed was not cheap either. Many big pig raising companies have thousands or tens of thousands of hogs in stock, and it is normal for even the average hog farmer to have dozens or hundreds of hogs in stock. At that time, the cost of raising a meat pig was about 1,000 yuan, but now the cost of raising a meat pig is as high as 3,000 yuan. And at the end of 2019 and the beginning of 2020, and even now, the number of piglets is very, very small, and it's not like you can buy piglets if you want to raise pigs. The price of a piglet in Guangdong province now ranges from more than 1,000 yuan to 2,000 yuan.
Three. The risk of raising pigs is still high:
The African swine fever that swept the world in 2019 has passed, but it doesn't mean that the virus of African swine fever has completely disappeared without it. In the second half to the end of 2019, when most people thought that African swine fever had passed, many farming companies and farmers tried to raise pigs again. But unfortunately, many of the pigs reared by these farming companies and farmers were infected with the African swine fever virus again and once again suffered heavy losses. Therefore, even in 2020, those companies and farmers who have suffered heavy losses from African swine fever will not dare to raise pigs, and at most they will only try to raise a few pigs again. And now the price of piglets is very expensive, a piglet is worth up to 2,000 yuan, if you are not careful to raise dead, 2,000 yuan is so lost. Breeding is risky, pig rearing needs to be careful!
Four. Many places do not encourage pig farming:
While African swine fever swept the world in 2019, the vast majority of pigs in many places died out. But this does not mean that many places will encourage people to actively raise pigs, will reward people for raising pigs. Even when there was the greatest shortage of pigs and when pork was the most expensive, many places did not encourage people to raise pigs. And many places are like this, very tacitly, as if all these places have made an appointment. In fact, the ultimate reason, is that pig farming is really too polluting the environment, for the localities is far more harm than good.
In many places, pig farming is based on small-scale farming of rural farmers, generally dozens to hundreds of heads. Characterized by more dispersed in the countryside, more raised in the village, more and more with the residential area sandwiched together, more no sewage treatment facilities, direct discharge, sewage flow, the stench, the masses have great views, many complaints. So many places have a tacit understanding that more is better than less, and do not encourage the masses to vigorously develop the pig industry.
V. Farmers lost a huge amount of money from African swine fever in 2019, and have not slowed down so far:
There is another important reason why the farming companies and farmers in 2019 have already lost a lot of money, or even lost a lot of money, and have huge debts when African swine fever swept through in 2019. In 2020 there are two jokes that are not funny at all, one is the lychee in the western region of Guangdong Province when ripe but do not see outside the Wuhan boss to buy, call to ask, the Wuhan boss said a few partners in the new crown epidemic died in the only one left him.
The second joke is that when pig prices were high this year, the boss of the Pearl River Delta hog dealers called the boss of the hog farmers in the western part of Guangdong Province and said that they wanted to buy a large number of hogs, but the boss of the hog farmers in the western part of Guangdong Province said that his thousands of hogs had all died last year during the African Swine Fever, and that he was working in the Pearl River Delta to pay off his debts.
Concluding remarks:
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