To speculate in new shares is to subscribe for newly issued shares, because both the issue price and the market price of the shares benefit from a certain price difference. Under the strict supervision of Shenzhen Stock Exchange, if you decide to resolutely participate in the first day of speculation after assessing your risk tolerance, Bian Xiao will share with you today the skills of speculating new shares on GEM for reference only!
Skill 1: Look at the market.
Compared with the main board, the trend of GEM depends on the face of the main board. So the trend of the motherboard is very important. When the small and medium-sized board opens, it is inevitable to continue to fall, all because it was in a big bear market in 2004.
Tip 2: It depends on the price comparison.
Comparing the new shares of GEM with companies in the same region, the same industry, the same market theme and similar performance, companies with the same circulating share capital and similar share capital structure, and choosing the average price to determine the expected price of the shares is the theoretical positioning price after listing. If the enterprise is in a leading position in its industry, the positioning price can be higher.
Tip 3: Look at growth?
The focus is on performance analysis, not only on earnings per share, but also on the stability of performance. Compared with previous years' performance, we should pay attention to whether the performance has increased. Relatively speaking, companies with strong profitability are more attractive to funds.
Tip 4: Is there "confidence" in the theme?
Whether new shares have stronger potential for capital expansion depends mainly on three factors: accumulated profits, provident fund and net assets. Individual stocks with great expansion potential can provide strong theme support for the future strong trend.
Tip 5: Look at the strength of major shareholders.
Too large or too small circulating share capital is not conducive to market speculation. Observing the shareholders of a company, that is, what kind of companies, institutions and individuals are its major shareholders, depends on the shareholding ratio of major shareholders.
Tip 6: Is the concept good?
The new shares that can be fully hyped after listing are not only "new", but more importantly, they are related to their own concepts. When analyzing new shares according to the prospectus, investors need to pay attention to the company's business scope, industry, projects under construction and the use of raised funds, and find out topics that the market is easily interested in.
Tip 7: Don't go with the flow?
If it is short-term hype, then try to avoid participating in the "red man" that everyone is optimistic about. As the saying goes, people abandon me and take it, and the main force often speculates on the least prominent and least optimistic tickets. After all the desk preparation, you should start preparing for the "real thing". $$$
Tip 8: Watch 9:35~9:50.
Judging whether there are short-term opportunities for new shares, the most important point is whether the turnover is sufficient. Under normal circumstances, when the new shares successfully change hands close to 60%, the main funds that want to speculate are more eager to drive up the cost area.
Experience tells us that if the main institutions take a fancy to a new stock, they will use 5~ 15 minutes after the opening to quickly intervene to collect chips while the majority of retail investors wait and see. Therefore, the turnover rate and stock price trend in the first 5~ 15 minutes and the first half hour can often analyze whether there is a big main force involved. Under normal circumstances, the turnover rate of the first three transactions is 5%, the turnover rate in ten minutes is about 20%, the turnover rate in one hour is above 30%, and the turnover rate in the morning is above 40%, all of which are worthy of high attention.
Tip 9: Look at the main cost?
The method of judging the main cost area is simple. The average price line when the single-day trading volume is most concentrated can be regarded as the main cost area, fluctuating up and down by 10%, which has considerable intervention value.
Technology 10: pay attention to stocks that have risen sharply at the opening.
New shares that will really skyrocket are often unexpected to most people in the market. In other words, if the price of a new stock after opening is higher than most people's expectations in the market, then this stock deserves special attention. The situation after the listing of Changjiang Power Company is a good case.
In addition, it depends on the time-sharing K-line, which can reveal all the essence, while the speculation of new shares is not based on the daily line but on the time-sharing K-line. After the IPO opens, the first 5-minute line is a positive line, or the third 5-minute line is a positive line, so there is a chance in the market. If the first five minutes and the third five minutes close, there is basically no market for this new share in the short term.
Tip:
How to operate after winning the bid?
To stay or not to stay is a question. If you are lucky enough to win the lottery, you must keep an eye on it on the first day of listing, and all the above skills should be studied in detail. However, different investors have different understanding and operating styles of stocks. Please sit down accordingly.
1. The easiest way to sell on the first day is to open the market and leave. As long as the psychological quality is good, all "future troubles" will be avoided. But you can also find a better selling point through the above technical methods, and maybe you can complete 20% more.
2. One of the biggest advantages of buying additional (technical and strategic) winning shares is that the cost of holding shares is relatively low. In this case, you can buy some stocks again on the first day of listing to dilute your costs. For example, if you win 500 shares at 10 yuan and buy another 500 shares at the price of 20 yuan on the first day of listing, your cost is only 15 yuan, and your ability to resist risks is good.
3. Long-term holding (stable squatting type) If you have studied the fundamentals of the winning company in detail, you think it has good growth. Then, hold shares for a long time. Judging from the current policy, situation and the actual situation of GEM companies, their desire for equity expansion is very strong. In other words, during the disclosure of the annual report, you will see that most GEM companies have launched a high proportion of delivery schemes.
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